More Americans Expect Civil War than Not in Next 10 Years, Poll Finds

by Casey Harper

 

Political tensions have ramped up year after year, and now nearly half the country thinks a civil war could happen in the U.S. in the next decade.

Newly released polling data from YouGov and The Economist show that “two in five Americans believe a civil war is at least somewhat likely in the next decade.”

Only 35% of those surveyed said it was not likely or not “very likely.”

“What is the likelihood that political violence will culminate in a civil war in the U.S.? While only 14% of Americans say a civil war is very likely in the next decade, 43% say it is at least somewhat likely,” YouGov said. “About one in three – 35% – say it is not very or at all likely, and 22% are unsure. People who say they are ‘strong Republicans’ are the political group most likely to anticipate a civil war: 21% say it’s very likely, compared to less than 15% of each of the other four political groups studied.”

According to the poll, Americans don’t expect the situation to improve.

“Two-thirds of Americans (66%) believe that political divisions in this country have gotten worse since the beginning of 2021, compared to only 8% who say the country has grown less divided,” YouGov said. “Few see things improving in the coming years: 62% expect an increase in political divisions.”

They also expect an increase in political violence.

“A similar share (63%) to the proportion who say political divisions have worsened (66%) say political violence has increased since the start of 2021,” YouGov said. “Three in five Americans (60%) anticipate an increase in political violence in the next few years and only 9% expect political violence to decline.”

The FBI raid of former president Donald Trump is the latest incident to weaken confidence in national institutions.

Rasmussen Reports released polling data earlier this month that reported that 44% of surveyed Americans say the FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago made them trust the FBI less.

“Last week’s raid by the Federal Bureau of Investigation on former President Donald Trump’s home has damaged the FBI’s standing with Republican and independent voters,” Rasmussen said, as The Center Square previously reported. “A new national telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports finds that 44% of Likely U.S. voters say the FBI raid on Trump’s Florida home made them trust the FBI less, compared to 29% who say it made them trust the bureau more. Twenty-three percent (23%) say the Trump raid did not make much difference in their trust of the FBI.”

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Casey Harper is a Senior Reporter for the Washington, D.C. Bureau of The Center Square. He previously worked for The Daily Caller, The Hill, and Sinclair Broadcast Group. A graduate of Hillsdale College, Casey’s work has also appeared in Fox News, Fox Business, and USA Today.

 

 

 

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2 Thoughts to “More Americans Expect Civil War than Not in Next 10 Years, Poll Finds”

  1. Steve Allen

    The crystal ball with become much more clear after the November election and the commencement of the 2023 legislative session. All I can say is this all out verbal assault against Conservative Americans by Biden and his handlers cannot go on forever.

    My SWAG is that if the donks don’t lose in the November election (through cheating of course), they will keep pushing and pushing (taunting and taunting) Middle America until some trigger event takes place. If they can’t force some crazy extremists to start something (less likely), they will create another false flag event of extreme proportion (think dirty bomb or a similar event), at which time the federal government will declare martial law and use the wokey dokey military, FBI, and the UN to start the confiscation of firearms. That would be the trigger for a civil war. I pray we do not reach that point. Our form of government has enough checks and balances to be able to navigate a peaceful solution to most internal conflicts, as long as both sides play fair and respect the laws of the land. Therein lays the problem.

  2. Tom

    After the 2022 midterms extreme fraud in many states, those people still holding onto hope of a peaceful solution through voting will realize that is no longer an option. Within 10 years? Expect within a year!

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